About Boom Board
Banned from casinos. So he built this.
The guy behind Boom Board got banned from most casinos for counting cards. Not cheating: math. Bet big only when the numbers are on your side, and the house notices.
Boom Board is that same idea, pointed at the NFL: start with the raw data, test everything, and only bet when the math says so. And it's free.
360K+
NFL plays in our database
every run and pass since 2016, added game by game
2.3×
the field
our top-rated players vs every starter, on a season the model never saw (2025)
+5.5u
our own picks this season
posted before kickoff; every loss stays up
$0
to use all of it
no card, no catch, no paywall
Why we built it
Same-game parlays are the sportsbooks' favorite bet, and most of them are priced to lose. The book knows how the legs move together and charges you for it, then some.
And the “AI picks” everyone's asking a chatbot for? They read the internet and repeat it back. That isn't an edge. It's an echo.
So we went to the source. Every play of the last 10 seasons. Dozens of ideas tested against seasons the model never saw, and only the ones that actually predict survive. Then all of it on screen: every starter's real chance at any line, next to the fair price, so you can see when your book is giving you value, and when it's robbing you.
The edge most people miss
Bonus first. Then better legs.
Books throw profit boosts, bonus bets and bet-and-gets at parlays every week, because parlays are their money-maker. Stack a bonus on legs our numbers like, and the math can flip in your favor.
Our Week 4 lottery ticket
+1149 → +2299 with a 100% boost
needs to hit 4.2% · our number ~8%
What's free, all of it
The boards
Boom Yards and Boom TD!: every starter's chance at a big day, and at any line you're looking at, with the fair price.
This week's board →Boom Board Picks
The bets we actually place, with our full take. Posted before kickoff, locked, every loss stays up. Tail them in a tap.
Our picks →Bet tracker
Any sport, any book: screenshot or paste a slip (or import a stack of old ones) and it fills in the legs. NFL legs grade themselves live; free bets, boosts and cash-outs handled. Private: only you see it.
Track your bets →Groups + Community
Groups for your crew, a community to share takes and slips. Our data plus your knowledge beats either one alone.
Join the talk →How we think
Data before opinions
No hot takes. If a factor doesn't predict on games the model never saw, it's out, however good the story sounds.
Math, not hope
A pick is only a pick when our chance beats the price. Most weeks, most bets don't. We pass.
Discipline
Bonus first. Small stakes on long shots. Every bet tracked, so you know where you really stand.
Nothing hidden
Numbers lock at kickoff. Every rating and every pick stays up, hit or miss. The whole method is public.
Want the nerdy version: every data source, every factor, how a projection becomes a chance? Our methodology →
It's math.
Can you beat the books? Not every bet. But with discipline and the right numbers, over a season, we think so. Come build it with us.
Built by Tony at LFG Ventures. For entertainment, not betting advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Terms