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TEN @ DAL

Sun 1p

DAL −7.5

Vegas spread

—

our spread

—

apart

51.5

total · implied DAL 29.5–22

The story

    Players

    our projection, inside his usual rangethe big-game line% his chance to reach it+ puts it on your slip · tap a row for more

    TEN

    Cam Ward

    QB

    206

    19%

    275+ yds

    Tony Pollard

    RB

    77

    24%

    100+ yds

    Carnell Tate

    WR

    51

    10%

    100+ yds

    Wan'Dale Robinson

    WR

    43

    4%

    100+ yds

    Elic Ayomanor

    WR

    27

    2%

    100+ yds

    Gunnar Helm

    TE

    24

    7%

    70+ yds

    DAL

    Dak PrescottStrong

    QB

    266

    43%

    275+ yds

    Javonte Williams

    RB

    73

    21%

    100+ yds

    CeeDee LambStrong

    WR

    80

    31%

    100+ yds

    George Pickens

    WR

    57

    13%

    100+ yds

    Ryan Flournoy

    WR

    43

    4%

    100+ yds

    Jake Ferguson

    TE

    23

    6%

    70+ yds

    Legs that go together

    Legs that tend to win on the same night. The chance of both, against what you'd get by multiplying them.

    Carnell Tate over 51.5 rec yds + Carnell Tate anytime TD

    20%13% if unrelated

    A WR who scores clears 70 yards 48% of the time, 18% when he doesn't. Fair price for both: +391.

    CeeDee Lamb over 80.5 rec yds + CeeDee Lamb anytime TD

    29%20% if unrelated

    A WR who scores clears 70 yards 48% of the time, 18% when he doesn't. Fair price for both: +244.

    Cam Ward 2+ pass TDs + Over 51.5

    30%22% if unrelated

    The over hits 68% of the time when a QB scores twice through the air, 34% when he doesn't. Fair price for both: +232.

    Dak Prescott 2+ pass TDs + Over 51.5

    41%33% if unrelated

    The over hits 68% of the time when a QB scores twice through the air, 34% when he doesn't. Fair price for both: +145.

    The links are averages for every starter at the position since 2016, applied to these players' chances. Not numbers for these players alone.

    Game lines

    What games with a line like this have done, 2006–2026. Tap + to add one to your slip.

    DAL −7.548%fair +106
    TEN +7.552%fair −106
    DAL to win76%fair −313
    TEN to win24%fair +321
    Over 51.551%fair −103
    Under 51.549%fair +103
    ▸Every alternate line, and your own · the chance and fair price at each spread and total

    Spread

    LineChanceFair odds
    DAL wins (moneyline)76%−313
    DAL by 3+70%−235
    DAL by 4+lands on 3: 7%63%−170
    DAL by 7+55%−122
    DAL by 8+the linelands on 7: 6%48%+106
    DAL by 10+46%+120
    DAL by 14+38%+160
    TEN +6.545%+122
    TEN +7.5the line52%−106
    TEN +8.554%−116
    TEN wins (moneyline)24%+319

    Total

    OverChanceFair odds
    Over 44.570%−236
    Over 47.563%−169
    Over 50.554%−116
    Over 51.5the line51%−103
    Over 52.548%+109
    Over 55.538%+162
    Over 58.530%+231

    Your line

    52%

    win

    0%

    push

    48%

    lose

    Fair price −106 · at −110 it's about fair

    Pick the bet your book offers and type its price. The chances are the share of past games with a line like this one.

    Teaser legs

    A 6-point teaser leg works when it has won often enough to beat −120 (73.9%).

    DAL −7.5 teased to −1.571.4% short
    TEN +7.5 teased to +13.578.6% works

    Build a teaser from every leg that works →

    Our picks on this game

    No pick from us on this game.

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