JAX @ NYG
Sun 1p · outdoors
JAX −6
Vegas spread
—
our spread
—
apart
44.5
total · implied JAX 25.25–19.25
The story
- Out: Jaxson Dart (NYG QB, IR).
Players
our projection, inside his usual rangethe big-game line% his chance to reach it+ puts it on your slip · tap a row for more
JAX
Trevor Lawrence
QB
29%
275+ yds
Bhayshul Tuten
RB
15%
100+ yds
Parker Washington
WR
11%
100+ yds
Jakobi Meyers
WR
4%
100+ yds
Brian Thomas Jr.
WR
3%
100+ yds
Brenton Strange
TE
12%
70+ yds
NYG
J.J. McCarthy
QB
10%
275+ yds
Cam Skattebo
RB
11%
100+ yds
Malik Nabers
WR
18%
100+ yds
Malachi Fields
WR
6%
100+ yds
Darnell Mooney
WR
1%
100+ yds
Isaiah Likely
TE
16%
70+ yds
Legs that go together
Legs that tend to win on the same night. The chance of both, against what you'd get by multiplying them.
Malik Nabers over 66.5 rec yds + Malik Nabers anytime TD
21%13% if unrelated
A WR who scores clears 70 yards 48% of the time, 18% when he doesn't. Fair price for both: +381.
Brenton Strange over 36.5 rec yds + Brenton Strange anytime TD
16%11% if unrelated
A TE who scores clears 50 yards 44% of the time, 19% when he doesn't. Fair price for both: +516.
J.J. McCarthy 2+ pass TDs + Over 44.5
24%17% if unrelated
The over hits 68% of the time when a QB scores twice through the air, 34% when he doesn't. Fair price for both: +308.
Trevor Lawrence 2+ pass TDs + Over 44.5
36%28% if unrelated
The over hits 68% of the time when a QB scores twice through the air, 34% when he doesn't. Fair price for both: +176.
The links are averages for every starter at the position since 2016, applied to these players' chances. Not numbers for these players alone.
Game lines
What games with a line like this have done, 2006–2026. Tap + to add one to your slip.
▸Every alternate line, and your own · the chance and fair price at each spread and total
Spread
Total
Your line
50%
win
4%
push
46%
lose
Fair price −110 · at −110 it's about fair
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Our picks on this game
No pick from us on this game.