IND @ HOU
Thu 8:15p
HOU −10
Vegas spread
—
our spread
—
apart
44.5
total · implied HOU 27.25–17.25
The story
- Out: Jaylin Noel (HOU WR, IR), Alec Pierce (IND WR, IR).
Players
our projection, inside his usual rangethe big-game line% his chance to reach it+ puts it on your slip · tap a row for more
IND
Daniel Jones
QB
20%
275+ yds
Jonathan Taylor
RB
11%
100+ yds
Ashton Dulin
WR
8%
100+ yds
Laquon Treadwell
WR
1%
100+ yds
Deion Burks
WR
1%
100+ yds
Tyler Warren
TE
18%
70+ yds
HOU
C.J. StroudStrong
QB
41%
275+ yds
Woody Marks
RB
14%
100+ yds
Nico Collins
WR
11%
100+ yds
Tank Dell
WR
8%
100+ yds
Xavier Hutchinson
WR
6%
100+ yds
Dalton Schultz
TE
12%
70+ yds
Legs that go together
Legs that tend to win on the same night. The chance of both, against what you'd get by multiplying them.
Dalton Schultz over 37.5 rec yds + Dalton Schultz anytime TD
18%12% if unrelated
A TE who scores clears 50 yards 44% of the time, 19% when he doesn't. Fair price for both: +460.
Daniel Jones 2+ pass TDs + Over 44.5
22%15% if unrelated
The over hits 68% of the time when a QB scores twice through the air, 34% when he doesn't. Fair price for both: +360.
Tyler Warren over 45.5 rec yds + Tyler Warren anytime TD
20%14% if unrelated
A TE who scores clears 50 yards 44% of the time, 19% when he doesn't. Fair price for both: +399.
C.J. Stroud 2+ pass TDs + Over 44.5
38%29% if unrelated
The over hits 68% of the time when a QB scores twice through the air, 34% when he doesn't. Fair price for both: +165.
The links are averages for every starter at the position since 2016, applied to these players' chances. Not numbers for these players alone.
Game lines
What games with a line like this have done, 2006–2026. Tap + to add one to your slip.
▸Every alternate line, and your own · the chance and fair price at each spread and total
Spread
Total
Your line
51%
win
5%
push
44%
lose
Fair price −114 · at −110 it's about fair
Pick the bet your book offers and type its price. The chances are the share of past games with a line like this one.
Build a teaser from every leg that works →
Our picks on this game
No pick from us on this game.