BAL @ CAR
Sun 1p · outdoors
CAR −1.5
Vegas spread
—
our spread
—
apart
44.5
total · implied CAR 23–21.5
The story
- Out: Tyler Huntley (BAL QB, IR), Lamar Jackson (BAL QB, IR), Durham Smythe (BAL TE, IR), Xavier Legette (CAR WR, IR).
Players
our projection, inside his usual rangethe big-game line% his chance to reach it+ puts it on your slip · tap a row for more
BAL
Jacoby Brissett
QB
22%
275+ yds
Derrick HenryStrong
RB
31%
100+ yds
Zay Flowers
WR
12%
100+ yds
Rashod Bateman
WR
2%
100+ yds
Ja'Kobi Lane
WR
0%
100+ yds
Mark Andrews
TE
8%
70+ yds
CAR
Bryce Young
QB
38%
275+ yds
Chuba Hubbard
RB
11%
100+ yds
Tetairoa McMillan
WR
11%
100+ yds
Jalen Coker
WR
5%
100+ yds
John Metchie III
WR
4%
100+ yds
Tommy Tremble
TE
6%
70+ yds
Legs that go together
Legs that tend to win on the same night. The chance of both, against what you'd get by multiplying them.
Tetairoa McMillan over 59.5 rec yds + Tetairoa McMillan anytime TD
22%14% if unrelated
A WR who scores clears 70 yards 48% of the time, 18% when he doesn't. Fair price for both: +350.
Zay Flowers over 59.5 rec yds + Zay Flowers anytime TD
22%14% if unrelated
A WR who scores clears 70 yards 48% of the time, 18% when he doesn't. Fair price for both: +350.
Jacoby Brissett 2+ pass TDs + Over 44.5
30%22% if unrelated
The over hits 68% of the time when a QB scores twice through the air, 34% when he doesn't. Fair price for both: +236.
Bryce Young 2+ pass TDs + Over 44.5
33%24% if unrelated
The over hits 68% of the time when a QB scores twice through the air, 34% when he doesn't. Fair price for both: +205.
The links are averages for every starter at the position since 2016, applied to these players' chances. Not numbers for these players alone.
Game lines
What games with a line like this have done, 2006–2026. Tap + to add one to your slip.
▸Every alternate line, and your own · the chance and fair price at each spread and total
Spread
Total
Your line
49%
win
0%
push
51%
lose
Fair price +105 · at −110 it's overpriced: about −7¢ per $1
Pick the bet your book offers and type its price. The chances are the share of past games with a line like this one.
Build a teaser from every leg that works →
Our picks on this game
No pick from us on this game.